By Benjamin Yount for Watchdog.org. Judge Amy Coney Barrett has been nominated to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Among likely voters, 91% say their minds are made up while 6% say they might change their minds. Table 20: Ballot type, by poll, May-October 2020. While still above water, Evers … The vice-presidential candidates are less familiar to respondents, with 10% unable to give a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vice President Mike Pence and 13% unable to give an opinion of Sen. Kamala Harris. His job approval rating stood at 54 percent, with 34 percent disapproving and 10 percent offering no opinion. Table 15: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of his job as president, May-October 2020. The sample included 806 registered voters in Wisconsin, who were interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4.3 percentage points. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to events in Kenosha, but barely moved following the late-August Kenosha shootings and protests, as shown in Table 8. After three months in office, Gov. Wisconsin Gov. These results include those who are undecided but say they lean to a candidate. A substantial majority, 83 percent, say use of marijuana for medical purposes with a doctor’s prescription should be legal, with 12 percent saying it should not be.Seventy-four percent support a major increase in state aid for special education, while 19 percent oppose such an increase. Table 27 shows the trend in family finances since January. This is a sharply partisan issue, as shown in Table 3. Table 16 shows how worries have varied since March, when the percent very or somewhat worried was at the highest level seen so far, while the number of those not at all concerned has stabilized close to 20 percent for some time. A substantial 37% say they don’t know how serious Trump’s illness is. ©2021 FOX Television Stations, until SUN 3:00 PM CST, Dodge County, Fond Du Lac County, Jefferson County, Kenosha County, Milwaukee County, Ozaukee County, Racine County, Sheboygan County, Walworth County, Washington County, Waukesha County, Soaring demand for contractors causing delays, backlogs in WI, Families of people with disabilities eagerly await COVID-19 vaccine, Ways to keep your grilling game going well into winter, Animals at primate sanctuary freeze to death amid Texas power outage, Universal basic income could be coming for kids, More than 4,500 cold-stunned sea turtles rescued from frigid Texas waters, Ryan Reynolds, Blake Lively make second $1M donation to food charities in US and Canada, 2 Kenoshans accused of looting beauty store after Jacob Blake shooting. Based on what respondents have heard about Mueller’s report so far, 42 percent say they have a great deal of confidence that the investigation was fair and impartial, 25 percent say they have some confidence, 10 percent have only a little confidence and 14 percent say they have no confidence at all in the fairness of the investigation. Among registered voters, 44% have a favorable view overall of Trump and 54% have an unfavorable view of him. Table 1 shows the trend in vote among likely voters from May through September. Tony Evers’ job performance. Table 3: Vote for likely voters and allocated vote, respectively. Gov. In January, 39 percent approved, 22 percent disapproved and 38 percent lacked an opinion.Fifty percent say they approve of the job the Wisconsin Legislature is doing, while 38 percent say they disapprove and 11 percent say they do not know. Five items were added to the survey after Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19 and were asked Oct. 2-4 to 355 registered voters. Evers’ job-approval rating was 52% favorable and 42% unfavorable, which essentially was unchanged from September. There has been little change in regions since August, except for the non-Fox Valley north and west of the state (“Rest of the state”), where support has increased. As of October, 44% approve and 52% disapprove. Most remarkably, Evers’ approval rating grew 19 points with Republicans… The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. ... Recall Tony Evers and created that group the night he won the election. To assess the probable impact of their votes, an “allocated” vote assigns these respondents to Biden if they have a favorable view of Biden and not a favorable view of Trump and assigns them to Trump if they are favorable to Trump and not favorable to Biden. There are 700 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. The Democrat’s approval rating in the latest Marquette poll was 50 percent, with 43 percent disapproving of the governor’s job performance. Forty-nine percent have a favorable view of Biden and 46% have an unfavorable view of him. In August, 69% supported a mask requirement and 29% were opposed. In the new October poll, 64% say they always wear a mask when in a public place, 20% say they do so most of the time, 12% do so only now and then and 3% say they never wear a mask when in public. The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 23. Among Republicans, 7% say they are voting for Biden, while 86% are voting for Trump, 3% for Jorgensen and 4% undecided or declining to say. Marquette Lawyer Magazine, New Marquette Law School Poll finds Biden lead over Trump stable at five percentage points, Amid major national developments, new Marquette Law School Poll finds Wisconsin voter preferences holding steady in presidential race, Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll, October 21 – 25, 2020, Detailed Results of the Marquette Law School Poll, September 30 – October 4, 2020, Detailed results of the Marquette law school supreme court poll- September 8-15, 2020, part 4 (Decisions), Wedge Issues podcast: Charles Franklin on polls, partisanship and public opinion, The Red and the Blue: Political Polarization Through the Prism of Metropolitan Milwaukee. The entire questionnaire, methodology statement, full results and breakdowns by demographic groups are available at law.marquette.edu/poll/results-and-data. However, more Wisconsin voters said they trusted Evers more than the Wisconsin Legislature to decide when to begin reopening and relaxing restrictions on public gatherings. Tony Evers’ approval rating has dropped below 50% as the first-term Democrat continues to butt heads with the Republican-controlled Legislature. That is a 3-point increase in approval and no change in disapproval since early October. Twenty-five percent say legislative leaders are trying to cooperate with Evers, while 57 percent say they are not really interested in cooperating. In the new poll, Biden is the choice of 46% of likely voters and Trump is supported by 41%. The poll was conducted Oct. 21-25, 2020. Questions on Form A have a sample size of 404 and a margin of error of +/- 5.7 percentage points. Tony Evers’ stay-at-home order is the appropriate response to the respiratory disease, while 26% say it is an overreaction. Table 16: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, May-October 2020. Table 13: Approve or disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy, March-October 2020. Partisan divides are vivid in new Law School Poll results, Wedge Issues podcast: Charles Franklin on polls, partisanship and public opinion Table 13: Favorable or unfavorable view of Pence, September-October 2020, Table 14: Favorable or unfavorable view of Harris, September-October 2020. Among those likely voters who have not yet cast a ballot, 35% report they will vote for Biden, 56% for Trump and 3% for Jorgensen. The margin of error is +/-4.2 percentage points for the full sample. After an initial approval rating in March of over 50% for his handling of the coronavirus outbreak, Trump’s approval rating has fallen to 41% in October, unchanged from September. The number who say they will vote in person on Election Day continues to rise. Eighty percent of Trump voters expect him to win and 11% expect Biden to win. The sample included 800 registered voters in Wisconsin interviewed by cell phone or landline, with a margin of error of +/- 4 percentage points. Table 21: Ballot type by party identification, October 2020. Thirty-five percent oppose such early release from prison.Expanding job training for prisoners is supported by 88 percent and opposed by 9 percent.Increased use of treatment programs and of alternatives to jail for offenders with drug or alcohol issues is supported by 78 percent and opposed by 16 percent.Increased state spending for prosecutors and public defenders is supported by 50 percent, with 37 percent opposing a spending increase.State of the stateFifty-two percent of respondents say the state is headed in the right direction, while 40 percent say it is off on the wrong track. Elizabeth Warren is a top choice of 17 percent. On Monday, Oct. 26, the Senate confirmed the nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to fill the vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court created by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. In January, Sanders was a top choice of 23 percent, Biden a top choice of 32 percent and Warren a top choice of 15 percent.Support for all 12 candidates included in the survey is shown in Table 1. The partisan divide over the ACA is shown in Table 19. Table 18: Tony Evers’ job approval, January-October 2020. Tables 4 and 5 shows trends on this question since June. Five items were added to the survey after Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19 and were asked Oct. 2-4 with a sample size of 355 registered voters and a margin of error of +/- 6.4. "Seventy-six percent approve of the way he’s handling … March-October 2020, Supreme Court nomination and upcoming Affordable Care Act case. The Marquette Law School Poll is the most extensive statewide polling project in Wisconsin history. Approval of protests over police violence against Black Americans declined from June to early August, prior to a police officer’s shooting Jacob Blake in Kenosha, but barely moved following the Kenosha shooting and protests, as shown in Table 20. Among all registered voters polled, 41% say Biden did the best job in the first presidential debate on Sept. 29, while 20% say Trump did best. This is a decline from three weeks ago, when 56% approved and 38% disapproved. There were 700 likely voters, with a margin of error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. This is little changed from October 2016, when 34% said they had stopped talking and 65% said they had not. In early September, Biden was supported by 47%, Trump by 43% and Jorgensen by 4%. They declined very slightly in October, as shown in Table 9. Evers’ handling of the coronavirus issue has 52% approval and 45% disapproval. By a 2-to-1 margin, voters say Biden did a better job in the debate. Just over one in three respondents, 36%, say they have stopped talking about politics with at least one person because of disagreements over the presidential election, while 63% say they have not done this. By party identification. Favorable views of the Black Lives Matter movement also declined from June to August, but has remained fairly stable since August, as shown in Table 21. Handling of the economy remains Trumps strongest area of approval, with 51% approval and 48% disapproval in the new poll, a 3-point increase in disapproval. Evers Unveils $91 Billion Budget. Another 8 percent say that they would probably vote for someone else, and 46 percent would definitely vote for someone else. Tables 28-30 present the recent favorability ratings of elected officials in Wisconsin and the percentage of respondents who haven’t heard enough about them or say they don’t know. Independents say they are voting for Biden over Trump by a 36-28% margin, with 12% for Jorgensen and 24% undecided or declining to say. Results for that group have a margin of error of +/- 6.4 percentage points. Gov. Approval of how Trump is handling his job as president is little changed over the surveys since May, as shown in Table 15. In the poll, 41% of registered voters say they have already voted either by absentee or in-person early voting. Tony Evers saw more approval in the new poll than in the April survey. MILWAUKEE – A new Marquette Law School poll of likely Wisconsin voters finds little change in preference or attitudes following the first presidential debate and after President Donald Trump tested positive for COVID-19. Approval of Evers’ job performance and handling of coronavirus In the new late-October poll, 50% approve and 43% disapprove of Wisconsin Gov. The full trend is shown in Table 17. The results are little changed from the Marquette Law School poll conducted from Sept. 30 to Oct. 4, in which Biden was the choice of 47%, Trump the choice of 42% and Jorgensen the choice of 4%. Over a third say they’ve stopped talking about politics with someone, and this varies by political party. Through debates, symposia, public lectures, panels, conferences, and the Law School's On the Issues series, Marquette University Law School has established itself as a leading venue for serious civil discourse about law and public policy matters affecting the region and beyond. Among those who say they have already voted, 64% report they voted for Biden, 25% voted for Trump, and 2% voted for Jorgensen. An effort to recall Governor Tony Evers is underway. Table 1 shows the trend in presidential preference among likely voters from September through October. The full trend since May is shown in Table 16. Table 3 compares the vote among likely voters without allocation against the allocated vote. Table 20: Approval of protests against police shootings, June-October 2020. The partisan makeup of the sample, including those who lean to a party, is 44% Republican, 45% Democratic and 10% independent. The vote margins may be sensitive to assumptions about turnout. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen is the choice of 4%, while 8% say they would vote for none of these candidates, don’t know how they would vote or decline to say. While twice as many respondents say former Vice President Joe Biden did better in the debate as say Trump did better, the shift in the vote margin since early September is a single point. The Marquette Law Poll is a public policy initiative of Marquette University Law School. The allocation does raise Biden to 50% and Trump to 45%, while Jorgensen remains at 2 percent. Opinion is evenly divided on whether President Trump tried to obstruct the investigation, with 45 percent saying he did and 45 percent saying he did not.While 39 percent say the investigation clears President Trump of any wrongdoing, 54 percent say they believe questions still exist concerning the president’s behavior.Support for beginning hearings on impeachment stands at 29 percent, down from 33 percent in January. Views of the direction of the economy have turned sharply down since February, with many more people saying the economy has gotten worse over the past year. Table 5: When do you think the coronavirus outbreak will be under control and things can get back to normal? The trend in approval and disapproval is shown in Table 19.